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Case Upon - SPX (S&P 500) Intermediate-Term Trend Indicator
By now you have certainly heard a great deal about “niche marketing.” This internet marketing model involves discovering and servicing smaller market segments instead of seeking to reach the always-elusive “general public.” Niche marketing is a successful and growing marketing trend, in large measure, because it takes advantage of current social trends in a way t
Econ
Company registration in the Australian market is regulated by government policies, and in order to keep within the guidelines, you'll need to be aware of what has to be done.According to ASIC (Australian Securities and Investments Commission), these are the steps they recommend to get you started:Step 1: Decide on your busines
Price stability is the main goal of the Federal Reserve, because when the Fed targets inflation, growth fluctuates little. However, when growth is targeted, inflation fluctuates a lot, which eventually leads to instability. The data show the Fed has done an excellent job of smoothing-out the business cycle over the past 20 years. Sustainable growth is optimal growth, which raises living standards at the fastest possible rate.
The current Fed Funds Rate is still accommodative. Normally, a neutral stance is well over 5%. However, the Fed has been brilliant in lowering inflation expectations, which lower future inflation, over the tightening cycle using a combination of "jawboning" and actual tightening. Consequently, the economy has shifted from above trend growth towards trend growth smoothly. The smooth downshift in economic growth is reflected in the stock market. The VIX (S&P 500 Volatility Index) fell below 10 two months ago, which was a multi-decade low. VIX reflects investor fear, and there has been little fear of the stock market recently.
The chart below is a weekly chart of the SPX to VIX ratio, since 1990. Over time, SPX will rise and VIX will trade in a range. So, the ratio will rise. Also, there's generally an inverse relationship between SPX and VIX, i.e. when SPX rises, VIX falls, and vice versa. The 200-week MA (red line) shows the ratio is mean reverting. Typically, when the ratio is 30 to 40 points away from the 200-week MA, it will fall towards the MA. Also, the 40-week MA (blue line) shows a steep rise over the 2 1/2 year cyclical bull market. So, if the ratio rises above 100, caution may be required intermediate-term.
Econ
There are thousands of would-be consultants and advisors who would have you believe that web site traffic promotion is akin to either some kind of witchcraft or requires a PhD in some kind of arcane technology. Neither one is true. Web Site traffic promotion is actually very straightforward and simply requires one to keep focus on what’s really relevant to get tr
The current Fed Funds Rate is still accommodative. Normally, a neutral stance is well over 5%. However, the Fed has been brilliant in lowering inflation expectations, which lower future inflation, over the tightening cycle using a combination of "jawboning" and actual tightening. Consequently, the economy has shifted from above trend growth towards trend growth smoothly. The smooth downshift in economic growth is reflected in the stock market. The VIX (S&P 500 Volatility Index) fell below 10 two months ago, which was a multi-decade low. VIX reflects investor fear, and there has been little fear of the stock market recently.
The chart below is a weekly chart of the SPX to VIX ratio, since 1990. Over time, SPX will rise and VIX will trade in a range. So, the ratio will rise. Also, there's generally an inverse relationship between SPX and VIX, i.e. when SPX rises, VIX falls, and vice versa. The 200-week MA (red line) shows the ratio is mean reverting. Typically, when the ratio is 30 to 40 points away from the 200-week MA, it will fall towards the MA. Also, the 40-week MA (blue line) shows a steep rise over the 2 1/2 year cyclical bull market. So, if the ratio rises above 100, caution may be required intermediate-term.
Econ
Whether you're looking for information on a particular credit card, or trying to choose a credit card for which you want to apply, you can find information on them in many places.You'll find lists of credit card plans, complete with rates, terms and any special information about them on the Internet, in magazines and in newspapers. The best way to get the mo
The chart below is a weekly chart of the SPX to VIX ratio, since 1990. Over time, SPX will rise and VIX will trade in a range. So, the ratio will rise. Also, there's generally an inverse relationship between SPX and VIX, i.e. when SPX rises, VIX falls, and vice versa. The 200-week MA (red line) shows the ratio is mean reverting. Typically, when the ratio is 30 to 40 points away from the 200-week MA, it will fall towards the MA. Also, the 40-week MA (blue line) shows a steep rise over the 2 1/2 year cyclical bull market. So, if the ratio rises above 100, caution may be required intermediate-term.
Econ
Do you go through affiliate programs like most people go through pairs of socks? Many Internet marketers do. In fact, 97% of all Internet marketers never make a single cent advertising opportunities on the Internet. They jump from one opportunity to the next and never see results. If you want to break free from this cycle of failure-- if you want to earn a living o
The chart below is a weekly chart of the SPX to VIX ratio, since 1990. Over time, SPX will rise and VIX will trade in a range. So, the ratio will rise. Also, there's generally an inverse relationship between SPX and VIX, i.e. when SPX rises, VIX falls, and vice versa. The 200-week MA (red line) shows the ratio is mean reverting. Typically, when the ratio is 30 to 40 points away from the 200-week MA, it will fall towards the MA. Also, the 40-week MA (blue line) shows a steep rise over the 2 1/2 year cyclical bull market. So, if the ratio rises above 100, caution may be required intermediate-term.
Econ
IntroductionIf you’ve made the decision to apply for an unsecured debt consolidation loan to assist you in dealing with some of your outstanding debt, you may have begun the process of looking for an unsecured debt consolidation loan and an unsecured debt consolidation loan lender. In short speed, you may have found yourself frustrated and even confused try
Economic reports next week are: Mon: Existing Home Sales, Tue: New Home Sales, and Consumer Confidence, Wed: Durable Goods Orders, Thu: Unemployment Claims, Final GDP, and Final GDP Price Deflator, Fri: Personal Income, Personal Spending, Revised Michigan Consumer Sentiment, and Chicago PMI. Notable earnings next week are: Mon: WAG, Tue None, Wed: RIMM RHAT KMG, Thu: PEP, Fri None.
I believe, the market will rise next week into the new quarter, although there may be a few more earnings warnings. It seems, end-of-the-quarter window dressing has already been completed (e.g. when oil stocks rose a week ago, while oil prices fell). Volatility may pick-up when earnings season starts in October, and some stocks will rise and other stocks will fall sharply on earnings. Economic reports and oil prices should continue to influence the market.
Charts available at PeakTrader.com Forum Index Market Overview section.
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